Advantages of SET Forecasts
SET forecasts are automatically updated on operational servers at the highest relevant geophysical cadence and lowest latency possible. Our systems use redundant data streams to provide enhanced, primary data and climatological, backup data to generate our data products. SET uses a secure environment to ensure that quality products are delivered on-time to our customers.
E10.7 and F10.7 Forecasts
Space Environment Technologies has actively developed forecast products since 2001, starting with the F10.7 and E10.7 solar indices. The example of these forecasts that are issued every hour is shown in the figures above. We have compared the F10.7 and E10.7 forecasts to the official NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center's forecasts and validated them for a 200-day forecast run, every 3 hours, from January-July 2001 during high solar activity. The figure below graphically demonstrates the comparison for this period of time near the solar cycle maximum when predictions are the most difficult. The figure shows comparisons between the 1, 2, an 3-day values of the NOAA/SWPC (SEC) F10.7 forecasts (red) to SET F10.7 forecasts (blue); it can be seen the SET forecasts either meet, or improve, the SEC F10.7 forecasts. Furthermore, the E10.7 forecasts (in units of F10.7) show a more significant improvement
A sample of one of the forecast products, shown below, provides the issued E10.7 and F10.7 values for the past 160 days, and their predicted values out to 6-monhts in the future. Error bars indicate 1-3 standard deviations (green 1, yellow 2, red 3). Recall that E10.7, in units of F10.7, is a proxy EUV index that can be used to improve models and algorithms simply by replacing F10.7 values: no other changes are required